Latest Insights

Jan 19, 2026

Major central banks mostly held a steady course amid broadly easing inflation. US price data remained benign – headline CPI was about 2.7% year-on-year in December, about the same as November – supporting expectations that the Fed may only cut rates later in 2026 rather than move quickly.

Jan 14, 2026

The US Dollar Index has transitioned from trending to drifting, flattening out into a consolidation. Earlier last year we saw clear momentum (both upward and downward), but now the range has tightened, and familiar trend channels have flattened. The market looks coiled, as if in a “decision zone” with no breakout or breakdown – just tension building…

Jan 13, 2026

Walmart’s inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 is more than a technical reshuffle. It reflects how market leadership is evolving in a post-inflation world.

Jan 12, 2026

The first full trading week of 2026 unfolded with a steady macro backdrop and limited change in central bank expectations. Policy signals across major economies remained broadly consistent with late-December messaging, reinforcing a sense of continuity rather than transition. Inflation trends continue to ease gradually, while growth indicators point to moderation rather than deterioration, keeping investors positioned cautiously but constructively.

Jan 07, 2026

After the inflation shock of 2022 and 2023, price pressures have finally started to cool. Inflation has not disappeared, but it has slowed, and that phase is known as disinflation. Prices are still rising, just not at the pace that unsettled households, policymakers, and markets a couple of years ago.

Jan 05, 2026

Global policymakers enter 2026 with policy divergence and a broadly stable backdrop. In the US, Fed officials have signalled a pause in rate hikes after a 3.50-3.75% policy rate (no hikes likely ahead and only one cut pencilled in 2026). Economic data have shown cooling inflation and modest growth, and markets now see Fed cuts (perhaps two) outpacing other central banks.

Dec 30, 2025

Picture this scenario: a central bank raises interest rates, yet the currency weakens instead of strengthening. It sounds counterintuitive, but seasoned traders know it’s not the rate hike itself that matters – it’s what the market expected to happen next. FX markets are forward-looking by nature, meaning they focus on where rates are headed rather than where they stand today.

Dec 30, 2025

Some years are remembered for what happened in the markets. Others are remembered for how businesses responded. 2025 was one of those years.