Markets rarely move in straight lines, and the dollar’s impact varies year by year; the chart below shows how seasonality plays out across different years.
Super Bowl 2026 is officially in the books. The confetti have fallen, the trophy has been lifted, and once again a familiar Wall Street question surfaces:
Valentine’s Day may be about romance, but it’s also a global economic event. Every February, billions are spent on jewellery, dining, flowers, travel, and gifts. While February 14th isn’t an economic data release in itself, the seasonal surge in consumer spending and sentiment can ripple across commodities, retail sectors, and even currency markets.
Why the recent swings are less about charts and more about strategy.If you’ve been watching USD/JPY recently, you’ll have noticed something unusual. After months of a relentlessly strong dollar and a yen that seemed stuck in permanent decline, the pair suddenly reversed course. The yen strengthened sharply, the dollar slipped, and traders everywhere started whispering the same question: “Is someone stepping in behind the scenes?”
Timing is everything. In football, a striker can be invisible for 89 minutes, and then, in one perfectly timed run, decide the match.
In trading, it works the same way.
